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Peter Zeihan

Disunited Nations

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    The goal here—very unofficially—is the end of Russia as a state.
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    America’s inability to voice what it wants from the world is condemning it to a series of future conflicts that are both eminently preventable and wouldn’t have to be fought alone
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    Had the 9/11 attacks not occurred, American strategic policy versus both rising powers would have been quite different.
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    The inability of the Clinton, W Bush, and Obama administrations to even begin the conversation as to what might replace the Order, complemented by the breakdown in the Democratic and Republican parties, means Americans cannot even begin to define what they want out of the world until at least 2030.
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    Colonial Brazil wasn’t settled by pioneers who could work the land to become wealthy, but instead by people who started wealthy and so already had the money to lay down to build the necessary infrastructure.
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    Even if the Syrian Civil War ended today, there isn’t enough water and oil to feed the population. Syria will not—will never—recover.
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    In a bizarre turn of events, easily defensible, militarily potent, politically stable Iran now needs the global Order more than indefensible, militarily weak, politically unstable Saudi Arabia—just as that Order bleeds away.
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